Newsweek on Larry Summers
Posted on February 23rd, 2009 in Uncategorized |
Sometimes—not often, but sometimes—I think that print journalism doesn’t deserve to live. Mostly I feel that way when I see a lengthy story on an important subject by some of the business’s most respected reporters that seems to have no sense of history or deep knowledge of its subject. Case in point: Newsweek’s long profile of Larry Summers, titled “The Reeducation of Larry Summers.”
First, a couple caveats. One, I understand that Newsweek doesn’t want to do too tough a piece on Summers because, in theory, he’ll be an important source for the magazine over the next few years. In that context, this article is a bit better than the dreadful schlock that Time served up a couple weeks back.
And two, one of the two reporters who wrote this piece actually interviewed me, and we had, IMHO, a more substantive conversation than what appears in the magazine.
And a third caveat: I don’t mean to sound arrogant when I say this, but there is simply no excuse for a White House reporter covering Larry Summers not to have read Harvard Rules. That none of them seem to have doesn’t really surprise me, though.
Here’s a big reason why reading HR would be useful background: the theme of the Newsweek article, “reeducation,” is an element in Summers’ career that is thoroughly covered in HR, and if the writers had read the book, the knowledge that Summers was, in theory, “reeducated” at least twice before*, and then always reverted to form, would have provided their story with greater depth and resonance.
For example: economist Christy Romer says this about Summers in the Newsweek piece:
“You could never call Larry Summers humble,” says Christina Romer, chairwoman of the Council of Economic Advisers. “But there is a difference in him in the sense that, when he starts to make a comment, he says, ‘Now, I could be wrong but …’ I feel the old Larry would not say, ‘I could be wrong.’ That’s a nice change.”
Well, except it’s not really a change at all. Consider this, from page 28 of HR, describing things that Summers learned from Bob Rubin in the late ’90s:
Summers could never become humble, but he could at least act it. So he learned to preface his opinions, as Rubin did, with softening phrases, such as, “I’m not an expert on this, but…” Or, “It’s just one man’s opinion, but….” Or, “It seems to me that…”
So the behavior that Romer is describing is at least ten years old.
There’s another element of Summers behavior that Newsweek does imply but doesn’t document: his tendency to blame other people for messes that are largely his own creation.
Consider this remarkable quote, about Summers’ evisceration of CFTC commissioner Brooksley Born, after she dared propose that derivative-trading be regulated.
According to witnesses at the CFTC, Summers proceeded to dress her down, loudly and rudely. “She was ashen,” recalls Born’s deputy Michael Greenberger….
Summers told NEWSWEEK: “I believed at the time, and believe much more strongly today, that new regulations with respect to systemic risk were appropriate and necessary, but expressed the strong view of Secretary Rubin, chairman Greenspan and SEC chief Levitt that the way the CFTC was proposing to go about it was likely to be ineffective and itself imposed major risks into the market.” (At the time, the Rubin Treasury Department argued against the Born proposal by maintaining that the CFTC didn’t have legal jurisdiction.) Still, Summers allowed that “there’s no question that with hindsight, stronger regulation would have been appropriate” before the financial crash. He added: “Large swaths of economics are going to have to be rethought on the basis of what’s happened.”
Summers’ response is pretty remarkable. He essentially frames himself as the messenger boy of Bob Rubin, Alan Greenspan, and Arthur Levitt (as if Summers ever cared about Arthur Levitt!). This surely downplays Summers’ role in policymaking, as well as the, um, enthusiasm with which he seems to have rebuked Born.
And Summers’ language, once you parse it, is hilarious: No, we wouldn’t want to impose major risks on the market!
Because, you know, regulating complicated financial instruments with high levels of risk and leverage would definitely be risky.
(I mean, really, no wonder Summers shows contempt for reporters.)
The point matters because the article almost entirely omits the obvious argument that Bob Rubin and Larry Summers contributed very much to the current financial crisis, a not-insignificant argument to make when you realize that one of them is now in charge of solving it.
And then Summers adds, well, it’s not really my fault, “large swaths of economics are going to have to be rethought on the basis of what’s happened.”
That’s a fascinating idea, and a reporter might follow up by saying, “Huh. Like what?”
Because nothing that has happened seems to have discredited any longstanding economic theory, and there certainly isn’t any bold new theoretical answer to recent events; it’s just a standard Keynesian, pump-up-the-economy response.
But by saying, well, it’s the fault of economic theory that now needs to be reconsidered, Summers is moving the question of blame off his shoulders onto those of past economic thinkers. (Calling Dr. Freud….)
A final point: For all the talk about the nice new Larry, Newsweek doesn’t even mention that already there have been reports of tension between Summers and Joe Biden, Summers and Tim Geithner, and Summers and Paul Volcker. That would seem relevant, no?
My feelings about journalism aside, we all want to see Larry Summers succeed in his current position. By definition, it would be good for the country if that happened. But journalists don’t do the public any favors when they fail to raise the important issues that attend this new ascension of Larry Summers.
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* One in the late ’90s, when Summers was positioning himself to replace Bob Rubin, and once after the women-in-science comments.
9 Responses
2/23/2009 12:10 pm
You’ve hit on one of my pet subjects for ranting. It’s eternally frustrating in any field of journalism to see reporters drafted in to cover specialist topics on which they know precisely nothing, resulting in reviews & profiles that merely skate over their subjects, missing valuable opportunities for in-depth analysis which enlighten the reader.
2/23/2009 12:13 pm
agh typo. Analyses, not analysis.
2/23/2009 12:45 pm
Not to mention that during the Harvard search skeptics on the Corporation were reassured THEN that Summers was a changed man. This is 3x.
2/23/2009 1:59 pm
What disgusts me about the article (on subject of crappy journalists) is that co-author Evan Thomas is a friend of Summers. So typical of this field, of pals writing on pals.
2/23/2009 5:37 pm
Yes, reminds me of the John Tierney piece back in the day:
http://www.richardbradley.net/shotsinthedark/2006/03/10/larry-summers-and-the-times/
Just for the record, again we have the usual fiction about what caused the resignation:
“Summers was forced to resign in 2006 after the faculty rebelled against his brusque management style. Recklessly for a university president, he tried to play the intellectual provocateur by asking whether the paucity of women in the top ranks of mathematicians and scientists was rooted in innate gender differences.”
This is quite clever: the first sentence gets part of the real reason; the second reverts to the LS default.
2/24/2009 8:32 am
Because nothing that has happened seems to have discredited any longstanding economic theory, and there certainly isn’t any bold new theoretical answer to recent events; it’s just a standard Keynesian, pump-up-the-economy response.
This statement misunderstands the state of economics. Since the 1970s, standard Keynesian economics has been in increasing disrepute within the academy. That’s not to say that policy makers and business economists have given up on it, but even there it has been sharing the platform more and more with other approaches (New classical and New Keynesian, in particular). What Summers’ statement implies is that academic economists now have to revisit their understanding of finance, macro and monetary economics, and Keynes is experiencing a revival of interest.
Krugman’s, de Long’s and Thoma’s blogs have all covered the weird statements of economists at Chicago, Minnesota and Harvard about the causes of the crisis and potential solutions. Until recently, these economists (those at Chicago, etc.) would not have even thought it necessary to make their claims, largely because of confidence that they had won on the issues underlying their statements, and skepticism that such a serious crisis was possible, especially one due to widespread problems in our credit system. While admitting that the Great Depression was indeed great, they followed M. Friedman in believing that it was a normal recession that was immensely aggravated by the Fed’s incompetence in understanding wise monetary policy. While incompetence likely plays a large role today, its largest part is related not to understanding wise monetary policy but wise regulatory policy.
So, I think that Summers is close to being correct in saying that “large swaths of economics are going to have to be rethought on the basis of what’s happened.” Not completely correct because I suspect that much of what will happen is that the work of people long considered marginal will be given a new hearing. Nevertheless, the conventional wisdom in these large swaths will change on the basis of what’s happened.
2/24/2009 8:44 am
RT: The funny thing about the point you make is that I covered this in some detail with the Newsweek reporter with whom I spoke, and explicitly said that the women-in-science speech was not the real reason for Summers’ ouster, nor even the concurrent cause; we spoke about Shleifer and the firing of Bill Kirby. I think the Newsweek folks wrote it the way they did because women-in-science is such a sexy and convenient anecdote. The truth is more subtle, and therefore harder to write right.
Marcel: Thanks very much for that post; I stand, if not corrected, certainly better informed. But I also stand by the point that in the context in which Summers delivered this statement, he was using it as an excuse for having opposed regulating the financial instruments markets, rather than making the comment as an observation about economics going forward.
2/24/2009 9:17 am
Thank you, Marcel, for writing a post I didn’t have the expertise to write. The more obvious point I thought of making was that Greenspan himself said he had to rethink everything in the fall, because the risk-aversion of the big players turned out not to have safeguarded the system as he thought it would. Everyone who the economists counted on turned out to have taken on unthinkable risks, due to intellectual sloppiness and moral complacency of the sort Ayn Rand likes to pretend doesn’t exist.
Marcel = MVP of the week.
Richard, you’re right that Summers’s choice isn’t fully excused by what he said. But I think Marcel has indeed corrected you.
2/24/2009 12:27 pm
Penultimate paragraph is amusing:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7b52319c-0205-11de-8199-000077b07658.html?nclick_check=1